Center for Regional Analysis

Summary

The Center for Regional Analysis (CRA) mission is to provide research and technical assistance to local government and businesses, primarily located in the Washington DC Metro region. These efforts focus on economic, demographic, transportation, housing and fiscal issues.

Information

Website: cra.gmu.edu  Twitter@GMU_CRA

Contacts:
Dr. Terry Clower (703) 993-8419    tclower@gmu.edu
Dr. Stephen Fuller   (703) 993-3186    sfuller2@gmu.edu
Dr. Mark White  (703) 993-2401  mwhite34@gmu.edu

Address:  The Center for Regional Analysis
Schar School of Policy and Government
George Mason University
3351 Fairfax Drive, MSN 3B1
Arlington, Virginia 22201   

History

The Center for Regional Analysis was formed in 1993 to undertake research on regional economic development policy focusing primarily on technologically intense regions. While some of its work initially focused on regional development policy in Europe and Asia as well as North America, much of its activity is concentrated on its immediate laboratory, the Washington DC region.

One of the Center’s first major initiatives was a conference on the future of the Northern Virginia Economy, held in May of 1994. The conference chronicled the recent development history of the Northern Virginia region including an analysis of its technology sector, which for the first time recognized that technology is the economic base of the region. The conference also unveiled the Center’s econometric input-output model of the regional economy, which was used to forecast different future economic scenarios. The initial work of the Center focused on examining the role of leadership in regional economic development. A theoretical approach was developed and tested in 1993 served as the theoretical rationale for the development of the Northern Virginia Business Roundtable. The Roundtable is a collection of some 100 CEOs from Northern Virginia businesses charged with developing intermediate and long range strategies for the region’s future. The Center has provided staff support for this initiative in areas such as industry targeting capital formation, higher education, elementary and secondary education, transportation and leadership development.

The Center, on the basis of earlier work on technology in the region for the Northern Virginia Technology Council and the Virginia Center for Innovative Technology, undertook the development of a technology database for the National Capital region under contract to the Greater Washington Board of Trade in the summer of 1994. This project, led by Dr. Roger Stough, was completed in the Spring of 1995 and for the first time provides an objectively defined estimate of the scale of the technology sector in the Washington DC region. The study demonstrated that technology accounts for a major proportion of the region’s economy and is focused on advanced technology services such as systems integration, information technology, telecommunication and biotechnology.

Dr. Stephen Fuller joined the Center in August of 1994 from George Washington University. Dr. Fuller is well known for his long standing analysis and knowledge of the National Capital region. In particular, he has developed a near term forecasting system for the Washington DC region using leading and coincident indices. He has also expanded the Center’s research on regional economic, housing and transportation issues.

Dr. Terry Clower is the current CRA Director after joining the Center and the GMU Faculty in August 2014. Prior to joining GMU, he was director for the Center for Economic Development and Research at the University of North Texas. Dr. Clower also spent 10 years employed in private industry in logistics and transportation management positions.

Team

Faculty

clower150Terry Clower, Ph.D.
Northern Virginia Chair and University Professor
Director, Center for Regional Analysis, Schar School of Policy and Government
George Mason University, Arlington, Virginia
tclower@gmu.edu

Areas of Research: Economic Development, Economic Policy, Quantitative Methods, Regional Development, Transportation Policy, Regional Economic Performance, Economic Forecasting, Economic and Fiscal Impacts

 

mark_c_white_150Mark C. White, Ph.D.
Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis, Schar School of Policy and Government
George Mason University, Arlington, Virginia
mwhite34@gmu.edu

 

Areas of Research: Economic Development, Workforce Development, Strategic Planning, Regional Analysis, Industry Cluster and Value Chain Analysis, Policy Development and Analysis


Spencer A. Shanholtz
Research Associate, Center for Regional Analysis, Schar School of Policy and Government
George Mason University, Arlington, Virginia
sshanhol@gmu.edu

Areas of Research: Housing, Transportation, Population Demographics, Policy Analysis, Economic Development, Statistical and Economic Analysis, Data Visualization.

Affiliates

The Center frequently collaborates on projects with Schar School faculty members and other key partners. These affiliate partners allow the Center to take advantage of additional sources of expertise.

Katrin B. Anacker
Associate Professor of Public Policy

Areas of Research: Race and Ethnicity, Urban Policy, Housing


Lisa Sturtevant, Ph.D.
Dr. Sturtevant is the President of Lisa Sturtevant & Associates, LLC.

Areas of Research: Housing, Demographics, Residential Mobility, Policy Evaluation, Regional Economic Development, Quantitative Methods


Ellen Harpel, Ph.D.
Dr. Harpel is the founder and president of Business Development Advisors.

Areas of Research: Economic Development Strategies, Business Attraction & Development, Incentives, Workforce, International Projects, Policy Research, Services Research, Fiscal and Economic Impact


Agnès P. Artemel
Agnès Artemel is president of Artemel & Associates, Inc.

Areas of Research: Market Analysis, Feasibility Studies, Urban Revitalization, Transit-Oriented Development


John McClain
Mr. McClain is a senior professional with over 30 years of experience analyzing the Washington region and has been working with the Center since 2001.

Areas of Research: Regional Economic Development, Economic and Housing Analyses, Metropolitan Transportation Planning and Land Use Studies, Analysis of Real Estate Markets


John Milliken
Senior Fellow in Residence, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Areas of Research: Economic Development, Transportation


Kelley S. Coyner, J.D.
Senior Fellow in Residence, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Areas of Research: Transportation Law and Policy, Smart Cities/Digital Communities, Presidential and Gubernatorial Transitions, Workforce, Employment, Forecasting-population, Housing Policy, Regional Analysis and Economic Development, Evidence-Based Nonprofit and Public Policies and Programs

Research Assistants

Kurt Birson

Graduate Research Assistant, George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Kurt Birson is a 2nd year doctoral student at the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. His research interests include International Development, Labor, and Poverty and Inequality in Latin America.

Mr. Birson has an MA in Economics from The New School for Social Research, and a dual BA in International Political Economy and Latino Studies. Prior to entering the PhD program, Mr. Birson worked at the Center for Puerto Rican studies at CUNY Hunter College where he authored several reports and book chapters about the Puerto Rican community residing.

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Lokesh Dani

Graduate Research Assistant, George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Lokesh Dani is a Graduate Research Assistant and a fourth year doctoral student at the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. His research interests include Entrepreneurship Policy, Regional Growth, and Economic Development.

Mr. Dani has a M.S. degree from New York University with a concentration in International Business, Economics and Development, and a B.A. from Bucknell University in English. Mr. Dani also has over six years of research experience working in multiple professional environments both in the U.S. and abroad.

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Hyun Ju (Monica) Kim

Graduate Research Assistant, George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Hyun Ju (Monica) Kim is a Graduate Research Assistant and a fifth year doctoral student at the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. Her research interests include Regional Economic Development focusing on foreign aid effectiveness and its impact on household behaviors and regional economies.

Ms. Kim has a M.S. degree from George Mason University in Public Policy and a B.A. from Korea University in Korean History. Previously Ms. Kim worked as a research intern at US-Korea Institute in the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University.

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Keunwon (Abraham) Song

Graduate Research Assistant, George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government.

Abraham Song is a graduate research assistant and a third year PhD student in the Schar School of Policy and Government. His research interests are in transition economics, productivity, and firm & industry dynamics.

He received a M.A. in Political Science from the Middle East Technical University in Northern Cyprus and a B.S. in Business Administration from the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. Previously, he interned at the Korea Trade and Promotion Agency in Moscow, Russia, and worked for an international medical corporation in Seoul, South Korea.

Highlights

March 2017

February 2017

January 2017

2016

Research

Reports by Date

Reports by Topic

Reports by Graduate Research Assistants and Research Fellows

Annual Conference

The Center for Regional Analysis organizes an annual Greater Washington Economic Conference. The conference provides community leaders, policymakers, area economists, government officials and interested citizens with an opportunity to think about the current and future state of the regional economy. The last conference, held in January 2016, was sponsored by Cardinal Bank and the Northern Virginia Chamber of Commerce in cooperation with George Mason University’s Schar School of Policy and Government. See website for presentation materials from recent conferences.

Recent Presentations

Loudoun County Regional Real Estate Trends, Dr. White, Dulles Area Association of Realtors, Economic Summit, March 24, 2017

Housing Market Trends in the Washington Area, Dr. Clower, Apex Home Loans’ 8th Annual Spring Housing Briefing, March 23, 2017

Washington Area & Northern Virginia Performance and Outlook, Dr. Clower, Northern Virginia Association of Realtors, Market and Economic Briefing, March 22, 2017

Assessing Alexandria/Arlington’s Regional Labor Market, Dr. White, Arlington/Alexandria Regional Workforce Council, March 6, 2017

2017 National and Washington Area Regional Economic Outlook, Dr. Clower, 25th Annual Northern Virginia Chamber of Commerce Economic Conference, February 1, 2017

The Stafford County and Washington Metro Area Economy: Performance and Outlook, Dr. White, Stafford County Economic Forum, November 10, 2016.

Washington Area & Northern Virginia Economic Performance and Outlook, Dr. Clower, Northern Virginia Association of Realtors, Economic Summit, November 10, 2016.

Economic Outlook for the US and DC Metro Area, Dr. Clower, RSM Clients, Alumni & Friends Event, November 3, 2016.

Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook, Dr. Clower, Mid-Atlantic Lenders Conference, Mortgage Bankers Association of Metropolitan Washington, November 2, 2016.

Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook, Ms. Coyner, Committee for Dulles, September 22, 2016.

Economic Impacts of Virginia’s Housing Industry, Dr. Clower, Virginia Housing Commission, September 21, 2016.

Washington Area Economic: Performance and Outlook, Dr. Clower, Jefferson Institute for Public Policy, Second Annual Conference on Virginia’s Economic Future, September 14, 2016.

Click here for Past Presentations

Regional Data

The Center for Regional Analysis produces more than 60 charts and graphs summarizing trends in the national and regional economies and housing markets.  Data elements include gross domestic product, jobs, unemployment, consumer confidence, oil prices, coincident and leading indices, interest rates, sales of existing and new homes, home prices, and regional economic forecasts, among other items.  There is information for the overall regional economy, as well as select economic and housing data for Northern Virginia, Suburban Maryland and the District.  This set of charts is updated when new data are released.

Download the current set of regional indicators.

Data are updated generally on the following schedule:

  • U.S. employment situation –  1st Friday of the month
  • U.S. housing data – 3rd week of the month
  • Regional employment data – 3rd week of the month
  • Regional unemployment rates – 4th week of the month
  • Regional housing data – 2nd week of the month

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